Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.650035 0.767579 0.895212 1.043470 1.210304 1.391597 1.602838
2025-07-13 0.456635 0.616695 0.808351 1.051606 1.348784 1.696627 2.130908
2025-07-20 0.334375 0.512791 0.746522 1.067128 1.486737 2.008195 2.695179
2025-07-27 0.248568 0.430742 0.690306 1.071948 1.601970 2.294343 3.247090
2025-08-03 0.180075 0.353332 0.621545 1.042765 1.660447 2.504011 3.709622
2025-08-10 0.137728 0.303913 0.581551 1.043736 1.753851 2.760386 4.244277
2025-08-17 0.100940 0.252633 0.527003 1.011302 1.790074 2.933825 4.669838
2025-08-24 0.079094 0.222360 0.500599 1.017289 1.880707 3.186554 5.216146
2025-08-31 0.061056 0.193812 0.470943 1.011900 1.949845 3.408223 5.725407
2025-09-07 0.051369 0.180906 0.468057 1.051630 2.093451 3.748660 6.423610
2025-09-14 0.042256 0.166107 0.458192 1.076336 2.212118 4.054880 7.082023
2025-09-21 0.031846 0.143371 0.426611 1.054951 2.248006 4.229883 7.545298
2025-09-28 0.025554 0.130465 0.415213 1.073390 2.358669 4.536622 8.235747
2025-10-05 0.020183 0.117925 0.402150 1.086951 2.461968 4.837791 8.932835
2025-10-12 0.016050 0.107512 0.392037 1.105213 2.575015 5.160759 9.678206
2025-10-19 0.012367 0.096400 0.377360 1.111196 2.664443 5.447191 10.375066
2025-10-26 0.008648 0.081815 0.348961 1.081619 2.681227 5.607589 10.870247
2025-11-02 0.006465 0.072914 0.334726 1.082813 2.758400 5.876390 11.553823
2025-11-09 0.004309 0.061274 0.308140 1.049511 2.761406 6.011410 12.015717
2025-11-16 0.003191 0.055135 0.297941 1.055711 2.846382 6.297410 12.742333
2025-11-23 0.002240 0.048590 0.284113 1.050179 2.905263 6.537138 13.396413
2025-11-30 0.001839 0.046672 0.287314 1.091084 3.067853 6.976402 14.410173
2025-12-07 0.001419 0.043619 0.285082 1.116514 3.197532 7.358240 15.334033